A. Historical Perspectives on the Expectancy Construct
B. Current Perspectives on the Expectancy Construct
1. A recent model of the expectancy for success construct
2. Research on self-perception of competence and ability
3. A model of self-efficacy beliefs
C. Developmental and Group Differences in Expectancy Constructs
1. Developmental differences
2. Gender and ethnic differences
D. Implications for Teachers
E. Summary
Several junior high students have the following conversation during lunch.
Kevin: How are you doing in social studies? Did you think what we just did was too easy?
Rachel: Well, not really. It's more just boring. I mean, who cares about what happened 300 years ago? That has nothing to do with my life.
Kevin: Really? I like it. It's interesting. I think what happened before does matter today, plus I'm really good at it. I think I did well on the test today. I always think I’ll do well in social studies because I always get a good grade on the tests and the reports we have to do. I've been getting good grades in social studies ever since elementary school. I might even major in social studies when I go to college.
Sam: Yuck, are you kidding? What a nerd! I hate it! I never seem to do well on those tests. I'm sure I flunked this one. All those truelfalse questions, they just confuse me. I think the teachers just make those up to trick us. Plus, do you know how hard it is to write a report? I can never think of what to say. It's too hard. I just end up copying out of the book. I’d rather play soccer I'm really good at that. I'm not good at social studies.
Rachel: I hate sports, too. I'm not good at social studies or sports.
Kevin: Well, I'm not too good at soccer I never do well at that, but I'm pretty good at baseball.
At the same time, several teachers are talking in the faculty lounge.
Mr. Dearborn: I always have a hard time getting the kids to understand photosynthesis. No matter what I do, it doesn't seem to make a difference. They just don't get it. I even expect them to have a hard time with it.
Ms. Morgan: Yes, that is a hard topic. I'm not sure I understand it myself, but at least you have all the top kids. I have the lower kids and you know how tough they are to handle. I just can't seem to get control of them, especially the sixth hour. It's the end of the day and we're all tired and I can't seem to get them under control. I just don't think I can manage those kids, let alone teach them complex things like photosynthesis.
Ms. Rivera: I have some of those same low kids and I don't have that many problems with them. I have my system set up and they know I mean business and they don't dare fool around with me. I can handle just about any kid, no matter who it is or what time of day. I know it's hard, but I make sure that they understand who is boss. I never have management problems.
Ms. Morgan: Well, it's easy for you. You've been doing this a lot longer than I. I'm still trying to figure out my system, get my units and lessons together, and actually teach. It's a lot harder than I thought it would be.
Mr. Dearborn: Well, don't worry, you'll figure it out. I remember my first few years of teaching, I thought I would never be able to do it. I had no confidence in my ability to manage a classroom. I used to wake up every morning all anxious and worried about the day and wonder if I would get through it without a major disaster I used to visualize all sorts of bad things happening in my rooms: fights, kids throwing things at me, everyone standing up and telling me to get lost. I look back now and realize how ridiculous some of those thoughts were. Eventually, I got more confidence in myself and figured out ways to manage my room. Now, I only worry about my instruction and the kids' understanding. The management stuff takes care of itself.
These students and teachers are concerned with their ability to succeed at a task, whether they have the skills or knowledge to do well, and what they expect will happen if they do attempt to do the task. All of these individuals are discussing, in one way or another, a central construct in many motivation theories-the role of expectancy beliefs. The concept of expectancy represents the key idea that most individuals will not choose to do a task or continue to engage in a task when they expect to fail. They may be interested in and value a task, but if they try a task and experience repeated failure, then eventually they will not engage in the task. Accordingly, whereas most lay views of motivation stress that interest or value are the most important aspects of motivation (e.g., see Rachel's statement about not being interested in social studies vs. Kevin’s statement of interest), most formal motivational models stress that the expectancy construct is very important. In fact, much of the empirical research in achievement motivation situations has focused on the role of the expectancy construct, not the value or interest constructs (Parsons & Goff, 1978).
HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVES ON THE EXPECTANCY CONSTRUCT
The use of the expectancy construct springs from a general cognitive perspective on motivation and reflects the cognitive metaphor of the individual as an active and rational decision maker in contrast to earlier behavioral models of motivation. However, even early on in experimental psychology there were behavioral psychologists who stressed the cognitive nature of learning and utilized the expectancy construct in their models. For example, Tolman (1932) proposed that rewards did not just "stamp in" associations between stimuli and behavior, but that even animals learn expectancies about what will happen to them if they perform a certain behavior. They then come to expect the reward (or punishment) when they engage in the behavior in the situation. For Tolman, this cognitive notion of expectancy replaced the mechanistic concept of habit from Hullian drive models (Weiner, 1992).
As part of this general shift from mechanistic, behavioral models to more organismic, cognitive models, there was less of a conceptual need for postulating some instigator or energizer of behavior (i.e., an instinct, a drive, a need, a habit). When concerned with a rat in a maze, there is a place for thinking about what motivates the rat to run the maze. However, once a general cognitive model is proposed that assumes that humans are innately active learners, constantly seeking to learn and adapt to their environment (White, 1959), then the problem of what motivates behavior is not an issue, but the issue of directionality becomes paramount. Accordingly, cognitive motivational theories became concerned with how individuals make decisions about which goals or paths they will choose to pursue, about the direction in which they will focus their innate energy, curiosity, and activity.
Lewin (Lewin, Dembo, Festinger, & Sears, 1944) proposed that the construct of level of aspiration could capture this decision-making process. Level of aspiration is defined as the goal or standard that individuals set for themselves in a task, based on past experience and familiarity with the task. The traditional research paradigm that was used to assess level of aspiration was the ringtoss game in which individuals were asked to toss rings over a peg while standing at different distances from the peg. Distances further away from the peg were given more value because they obviously made the task more difficult. The subjects were given some experience with the game (usually 10 trials) and then asked to state their goal for the next 10 trials (How many are you going to try to get over the peg in the next 10 trials?). The combination of different distances and values allowed the experimenter and subject to estimate both expectancy (probability of success for a toss) and value (distance from peg).
A great deal of empirical research was done using this level-of-aspiration paradigm and several important findings emerged (Weiner, 1992). First, subjects were most likely to feel successful when they met the goals they set for themselves (subjective goal or level), not the actual objective level of attainment (e.g., five successful tosses). This type of situation occurs in the classroom when two different students get the same good grade of 85 out of 100 points on a test (same objective level of attainment), but one student is quite unhappy with the grade because of expectations of a higher grade, whereas the other student, who had a lower level of aspiration, is quite content with the grade. A second general finding was that level of aspiration was related to prior experience with the task and that prior success generally led to increases in level of aspiration, but failure usually decreased level of aspiration. Finally, the research found that there were individual and group differences in level of aspiration. Subjects high in ability tended to set higher aspirations than those low in ability In addition, subjects were influenced by group goals and performance and would adjust their level of aspiration to the group norms (Weiner, 1992).
Building on these general constructs of expectancy and level of aspiration from Tolman and Lewin, Atkinson’s (1957, 1964) model of achievement motivation attempted to combine the constructs of needs, expectancy, and value into a comprehensive theory. His model proposed that behavior was a multiplicative function of these three components, which he labeled motives, probability for success, and incentive value. Motives represented learned but stable and enduring individual differences or dispositions and included two basic achievement motives: to seek success (need for achievement or motive to approach success) and to fear failure (motive to avoid failure). These motives are affective in nature but do include an aspect of expectancy in terms of emotional anticipation (Covington, 1992). The motive for success was assumed to represent individuals' hope for or anticipation of success and reflect their " capacity to experience pride in accomplishment" (Atkinson, 1964, p. 214). If the motive for success was high, then individuals would likely approach and engage in achievement tasks. In contrast, the motive to avoid failure represents individuals' capacity to experience shame and humiliation when they fail, and when the motive is high, this would lead individuals to avoid engaging in achievement tasks.
In the voluminous research on this model, the motive for success was usually measured using the Thematic Apperception Test, TAT (Atkinson, 1958; McClelland, Atkinson, Clark, & Lowell, 1953), a projective test where individuals are asked to tell stories about a set of pictures they are shown. The pictures display people at everyday tasks (e.g., two men in a machine shop) and the stories are scored for achievement imagery (e.g., The two men are working on a new invention that will change the industry.). In contrast, the motive to avoid failure was usually measured using the Test Anxiety Questionnaire, TAQ (Mandler & Sarason, 1952), which is a more objective self-report measurement asks people to rate their anxiety and worry about testing situations (e "While taking an intelligence test, to what extent do you worry?"). The TAT been criticized for problems of reliability and validity, although a recent analysis of research on the TAT and questionnaire measures of need achievement suggests that both types of measures show approximately the same relation to actual behavior (Spangler, 1992). There continues to be development and research on the use of the TAT and other more objective measures of the need for achievement (Smith, 1992).
In Atkinson's original model, these two motives were assumed to be orthogonal to one another, although most subsequent research usually examined the motive for success and operated as if there was a single continuum anchored by high motive for success on one end and high motive to avoid failure on other end. Covington (1992) has suggested that the original model based the independence of these two motives provides a more comprehensive picture of different approaches to achievement. If the two motives are conceptualized as orthogonal, a two-by-two matrix is created with four cells generated to describe four different approaches to achievement (Covington, 1992; Covington & Omelich, 1991; Covington & Roberts, 1994). This quadripolar model suggests that there are four general types of students and ways of approaching achievement tasks: success oriented, failure avoiders, overstrivers, and failure accepters (see Figure 3.1).